| A
public-private effort to develop technologies for more fuel-efficient automobiles
and to investigate the feasibility of hydrogen-based vehicles has made
significant progress in most research areas, says a new report from the
National Research Council. While several barriers hinder the program from
achieving its full objectives, the potential benefits -- reducing dependence
on imported oil and minimizing harmful environmental effects -- justify
the cost of the research. A strategic reassessment of the overall program
plan that accounts for new national and changed research priorities also
should be developed, said the committee that wrote the report.
The FreedomCAR (Cooperative Automotive
Research) and Fuel Partnership -- a research collaboration among the U.S.
Department of Energy, the Detroit Three automakers, and five major energy
companies -- seeks to develop technology that will allow U.S. automakers
to decide by 2015 whether hydrogen-powered vehicles could be manufactured
on a large scale. To achieve this goal, the program's partners are seeking
safe, cost-efficient methods to produce hydrogen from traditional and renewable
energy sources, as well as ways to deliver, dispense, and store hydrogen
for vehicles. The program also sponsors research to reduce the size, weight,
and cost of vehicle components to increase fuel efficiency. While pursuing
these goals, the program is exploring technology that, in the short term,
will provide more efficient and less polluting combustion engines, as well
as electric batteries that could be used in hybrid-electric or all-electric
vehicles.
"Since the Research Council's
first review two years ago, the program has made great strides, and its
managers have been generally thorough and receptive to the previous report's
recommendations," said Craig Marks, committee chair and retired vice president
for technology and productivity, AlliedSignal Inc., Bloomfield Hills, Mich.
"The barriers the program faces are challenging, and require inventive
solutions that are technically feasible and economically viable in the
automotive and fuel supply markets. For the industry to transition to a
hydrogen-based vehicle used on a broad scale, the program will have to
continue to be well-planned and managed with foresight."
In light of progress and shifts
in the automotive market, such as the successful introduction of biofuels,
the committee recommended the partnership review its activities strategically
to ensure their continuing relevancy. A reassessment of the goals in each
technical area will also provide a better basis for judging future funding
levels for each part of the program.
The development of fuel cells
and a supporting hydrogen infrastructure would provide the most efficient
and least polluting means to power personal transportation vehicles, the
committee concluded. However, the early systems now being tested still
need significant improvements in durability and cost to enable the mass
production and sale of vehicles. Such improvements are being pursued through
promising new materials and designs for fuel-cell membranes and membrane
electrode assemblies. The committee recommended the partnership reassess
the current allocation of funding within the fuel-cell program and reallocate
as appropriate, in order to prioritize and emphasize research and development
that addresses the most critical barriers.
In addition, advances over the
last two years have been made toward meeting FreedomCAR's battery goals,
which are critical to achieving widespread support for hybrid, plug-in
hybrid, and all-electric vehicles. Lithium-ion batteries can satisfy the
program's goals; however, the cost to produce batteries remains high, approximately
two times the target. While lower cost materials and manufacturing methods
are being researched, the partnership should conduct an in-depth review
of production and market forces behind lithium-ion batteries and intensify
its efforts to develop other high-energy batteries, the report recommends.
The success of this battery research will largely determine the viability
of batteries in mass-produced vehicles.
During the first review of the
program, the Research Council determined that the most difficult, long-term
challenge was solving the problem of hydrogen storage in vehicles. Hydrogen,
whether in the form of a gas or liquid, takes up more space than gasoline,
requiring large, heavy tanks and frequent refueling. In the latest report,
the committee found that storing enough hydrogen in the vehicle to provide
a 300-mile driving range while simultaneously meeting weight, volume, and
cost targets continues to be challenging, and it is still too early to
have confidence in ultimate success.
Both domestic and foreign automakers
are putting demo fuel-cell vehicles on the road with high-pressure hydrogen
storage tanks. However, meeting the program's goals will probably rely
on a storage technology that is yet undiscovered. Nevertheless, progress
has been made with the establishment of three centers of excellence, each
with different approaches to finding ways to reduce the size and mass of
hydrogen storage devices. The report recommends that the program continue
to support and conduct basic research in this field to help foster possible
breakthroughs.
Besides technical barriers, economic
and societal restrictions will impede the completion of FreedomCAR's goal
of a gradual transition from petroleum-based fuel to hydrogen. The committee
acknowledged that the partnership's Technology Validation Program is a
well-conceived path to addressing some of these broader issues, and DOE
is currently studying scenarios of the likely transition, including the
economics involved. The report suggests extending these studies until 2030-2035
to account for the probable emergence of more mature hydrogen fuel systems
and to ensure the most critical factors in production and delivery are
understood.
The study was sponsored by the
U.S. Department of Energy. The National Academy of Sciences, National Academy
of Engineering, Institute of Medicine, and National Research Council make
up the National Academies. They are private, nonprofit institutions that
provide science, technology, and health policy advice under a congressional
charter. The Research Council is the principal operating agency of the
National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering. A
committee roster follows.
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