| Cars fueled
solely by hydrogen can be made today. Futurist James Canton rode in one
in spring 2005 after a speaking engagement at Albany NanoTech on the campus
of the State University of New York at Albany.
"It handled beautifully, accelerated
smartly, and rode smoothly. Other than not making noise and belching black,
environmentally unfriendly exhaust, it was indistinguishable from the countless
utilitarian compacts zipping alongside me," Canton wrote.
There was only one problem with that
car. It cost $1.2 million. But Canton, chairman and CEO of the San Francisco-based
Institute of Global Futures, predicts that the price will soon come down
to a level where nearly everyone can afford one.
Automakers, governments, utilities
and oil and gas companies are pouring billions into hydrogen research,
he points out, because of accelerating global demand for oil and dwindling
oil reserves.
"I forecast that more than $10 billion
will be needed and spent on hydrogen research over the next ten to fifteen
years worldwide. This will lead to a mass-market set of innovations, similar
to the innovations that first launched the modern auto, train, and shipping
industries. By 2035, or even sooner, hydrogen will be a viable alternative
to oil and gas, meeting as much as 35 percent of our energy needs," Canton
says.
It could happen sooner if hydrogen
research were given the priority it merits, Canton writes.
"If the Iraq war costs the U.S. between
$599 billion and $1 trillion, and we were to invest half of that in hydrogen,
we would see dramatic breakthroughs in energy - fast," Canton writes.
Canton unequivocally asserts that
the oil era is approaching its end and that the information age has evolved
into the innovation age.
Only those individuals, businesses
and governments that achieve "future readiness" soon enough to take advantage
of tremendous opportunities presented by the scientific and technological
breakthroughs will become commercially viable in the short term.
In addition to energy breakthroughs,
Canton focuses on numerous innovations that could help meet the needs of
a growing global population in such areas as health and medicine, manufacturing,
communications, transportation, security, entertainment, media and education.
Canton's list of the top nine jobs
in the 2015 work force suggests how dramatically life is changing. Those
include neuro-medical techs, personal security techs, organ cloners, biofuture
therapists and quantum scientists.
His 2020 top job list includes knowledge-management
advisers; nano-bio entrepreneurs; artists, poets and writers; on-demand
supply-chain designers; and global headhunters.
The future that Canton writes about
is no distant science-fiction world, he says. It is near-term and credible,
based on research and development that already is under way. His objective
is to alert America to what needs to be done to make it ready and able
to meet the twin challenges of innovation and globalization.
He sees globalization as a positive.
But he stresses the need for this country to dramatically improve its education
system in order to have the kind of skilled and knowledgeable work force
that will be required to compete in the 21st-century international economic
arena.
James Canton-Dutton($25.95)

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