Cryogenic,
superconducting conduits could be connected into a "SuperGrid" that would
simultaneously deliver electrical power and hydrogen fuel
By Paul M. Grant, Chauncey Starr
and Thomas J. Overbye
On
the afternoon of August 14, 2003, electricity failed to arrive in New York
City, plunging the eight million inhabitants of the Big Apple--along with
40 million other people throughout the northeastern U.S. and Ontario--into
a tense night of darkness. After one power plant in Ohio had shut down,
elevated power loads overheated high-voltage lines, which sagged into trees
and short-circuited. Like toppling dominoes, the failures cascaded through
the electrical grid, knocking 265 power plants offline and darkening 24,000
square kilometers.
That incident--and an even more extensive
blackout that affected 56 million people in Italy and Switzerland a month
later--called attention to pervasive problems with modern civilization's
vital equivalent of a biological circulatory system, its interconnected
electrical networks. In North America the electrical grid has evolved in
piecemeal fashion over the past 100 years. Today the more than $1-trillion
infrastructure spans the continent with millions of kilometers of wire
operating at up to 765,000 volts. Despite its importance, no single organization
has control over the operation, maintenance or protection of the grid;
the same is true in Europe. Dozens of utilities must cooperate even as
they compete to generate and deliver, every second, exactly as much power
as customers demand--and no more. The 2003 blackouts raised calls for greater
government oversight and spurred the industry to move more quickly, through
its Intelli-Grid Consortium and the Grid-Wise program of the U.S. Department
of Energy, to create self-healing systems for the grid that may prevent
some kinds of outages from cascading. But reliability is not the only challenge--and
arguably not even the most important challenge--that the grid faces in
the decades ahead.
A more fundamental limitation of
the 20th-century grid is that it is poorly suited to handle two 21st-century
trends: the relentless growth in demand for electrical energy and the coming
transition from fossil-fueled power stations and vehicles to cleaner sources
of electricity and transportation fuels. Utilities cannot simply pump more
power through existing high-voltage lines by ramping up the voltages and
currents. At about one million volts, the electric fields tear insulation
off the wires, causing arcs and short circuits. And higher currents will
heat the lines, which could then sag dangerously close to trees and structures.
A hydrogen-filled SuperGrid would
serve not only as a conduit but also as a vast repository of energy.
It is not at all clear, moreover,
how well today's infrastructure could support the rapid adoption of hybrid
vehicles that draw on electricity or hydrogen for part of their power.
And because the power system must continuously match electricity consumption
with generation, it cannot easily accept a large increase in the unpredictable
and intermittent power produced from renewable wind, ocean and solar resources.
We are part of a growing group of
engineers and physicists who have begun developing designs for a new energy
delivery system we call the Continental SuperGrid. We envision the SuperGrid
evolving gradually alongside the current grid, strengthening its capacity
and reliability. Over the course of decades, the SuperGrid would put in
place the means to generate and deliver not only plentiful, reliable, inexpensive
and "clean" electricity but also hydrogen for energy storage and personal
transportation.
Engineering studies of the design
have concluded that no further fundamental scientific discoveries are needed
to realize this vision. Existing nuclear, hydrogen and superconducting
technologies, supplemented by selected renewable energy, provide all the
technical ingredients required to create a SuperGrid. Mustering the social
and national resolve to create it may be a challenge, as will be some of
the engineering. But the benefits would be considerable, too.
Superconducting lines, which transmit
electricity with almost perfect efficiency, would allow distant generators
to compensate for local outages. They would allow power plants in different
climate regions to bolster those struggling to meet peak demand. And they
would allow utilities to construct new generating stations on less controversial
sites far from population centers.
For moving tens of gigawatts over
hundreds of kilometers, perfect conductors are a perfect fit.
SuperGrid connections to these new
power plants would provide both a source of hydrogen and a way to distribute
it widely, through pipes that surround and cool the superconducting wires.
A hydrogen-filled SuperGrid would serve not only as a conduit but also
as a vast repository of energy, establishing the buffer needed to enable
much more extensive use of wind, solar and other renewable power sources.
And it would build the core infrastructure that is a prerequisite if rich
economies are to move away from greenhouse-gas-emitting power plants and
vehicles.
A New Grid for a New Era
A continental supergrid may sound
like a futuristic idea, but the concept has a long history. In 1967 IBM
physicists Richard L. Garwin and Juri Matisoo published a design for a
1,000-kilometer transmission cable made of niobium tin, which superconducts
at high currents. Extraordinary amounts of direct current (DC) can pass
resistance-free through such a superconductor when the metal is chilled
by liquid helium to a few degrees above absolute zero. The scientists proposed
a DC cable with two conductors (made of superconducting wire or tape) that
together would carry 100 gigawatts--roughly the output of 50 nuclear power
plants.
Garwin and Matisoo were exploring
what might be possible, not what would be practical. It would not make
sense to inject that much power into one point of the grid, and liquid
helium is a cumbersome coolant. But their ideas inspired others. In the
following decades, short superconducting cables were built and tested to
carry alternating current (AC) in Brookhaven, N.Y., and near Graz, Austria,
with the latter operating connected to the local grid for several years.
Ten years after the discovery of
high-temperature superconductivity, a technical study by the Electric Power
Research Institute (EPRI) concluded that with liquid nitrogen as a coolant,
a five-gigawatt DC "electricity pipe" could compete economically with a
gas pipeline or conventional overhead lines for transmission distances
of 800 kilometers or more. Two of us (Grant and Starr) developed the idea
further in papers that explored how ultracold hydrogen--either liquid or
supercritical gas--might both chill the superconducting wires and deliver
energy in chemical form within a continental-scale system. In 2002 and
2004 the third author (Overbye) organized workshops at which dozens of
experts detailed a plan for a 100-meter pilot segment, precursor to a 50-kilometer
intertie between existing regional grids.
It is important to develop prototypes
soon, because existing electrical grids are increasingly reaching the point
of maximum loading--and, as the blackouts indicate, occasionally exceeding
it. As total generating capacity in the U.S. has risen by almost a quarter
in the past five years, the high-voltage transmission grid has grown in
size by just 3.3 percent. Yet society's appetite for energy continues to
grow rapidly: the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts that
by 2025 annual energy use in the U.S. will hit 134 trillion megajoules
(127 quadrillion BTUs), over a quarter greater than it was in 2005.
The rising demand poses two problems:
where to get this new energy and how to distribute it. Fossil fuels will
probably still supply a large fraction of our energy 20 years from now.
But global competition for limited petroleum and natural gas resources
is intense, and even mild production shortages can send prices skyrocketing,
as we have seen in the past few months. Concern over greenhouse warming
is leading to other constraints.
If we have an opportunity to move
away from our dependence on fossil fuels, clearly we should take it. But
fully exploiting nonfossil energy sources, including wind, solar, agricultural
biomass and in particular advanced nuclear power, will require a new grid
for this new era. To distribute trillions of kilowatt-hours of extra electricity
every year, the U.S. grid will have to handle roughly 400 gigawatts more
power than it does today.
The current infrastructure can be
enhanced only so far. New carbon-core aluminum wires can be stretched more
tautly than conventional copper wires and so can carry perhaps three times
as much current before sagging below safe heights. And U.S. utilities will
take advantage of provisions in the 2005 Energy Act that make it easier
to open new transmission corridors.
But high-voltage lines are already
approaching the million-volt limit on insulators and the operating limits
of semiconductor devices that control DC lines. AC lines become inefficient
at distances around 1,200 kilometers, because they begin to radiate the
60-hertz power they carry like a giant antenna. Engineers will thus need
to augment the transmission system with new technologies to transport hundreds
more gigawatts from remote generators to major cities.
Next-Generation Nuclear
One of our goals in designing the
SuperGrid has been to ensure that it can accept inputs from a wide variety
of generators, from the smallest rooftop solar panel and farmyard wind
turbine to the largest assemblage of nuclear reactors. The largest facilities
constrain many basic design decisions, however. And the renewables still
face tremendous challenges in offering the enormous additional capacity
required for the next 20 years. So we built our concept on a foundation
of fourth-generation nuclear power.
The 2005 Energy Act directed $60
million toward development of "generation IV" high-temperature, gas-cooled
reactors. Unlike most current nuclear plants, which are water-cooled and
so usually built near large bodies of water--typically near population
centers--the next-generation reactors expel their excess heat directly
into the air or earth.
In newer designs, the nuclear reactions
slow down as the temperature rises above a normal operating range. They
are thus inherently resistant to the coolant loss and overheating that
occurred at Chernobyl in Ukraine and Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania
[see "Next-Generation Nuclear Power," by James A. Lake, Ralph G. Bennett
and John F. Kotek; Scientific American, January 2002].
Like all fission generators, however,
generation IV units will produce some radioactive waste. So it will be
least expensive and easiest politically to build them in "nuclear clusters,"
far from urban areas. Each cluster could produce on the order of 10 gigawatts.
Remote siting will make it easier
to secure the reactors as well as to build them. But we will need a new
transmission technology--a Super-Cable--that can drastically reduce the
cost of moving energy over long distances.
SuperCables
For the electricity part of the
Super-Grid, where we need to move tens of gigawatts over hundreds of kilometers,
perfect conductors are a perfect fit. Although superconducting materials
were discovered in 1911 and were fashioned into experimental devices decades
ago, it is only quite recently that the refrigeration needed to keep them
ultracold has become simple enough for industrial use. Super-conductors
are now moving beyond magnetic resonance imaging scanners and particle
accelerators and into commercial power systems.
For example, the DOE has joined with
power equipment manufacturers and utilities to produce prototypes of superconducting
transformers, motors, generators, fault-current limiters and transmission
cables. Other governments--notably Japan, the European Union, China and
South Korea--have similar development programs. Three pilot projects now
under way in the U.S. are demonstrating superconducting cables in New York
State on Long Island and in Albany and in Columbus, Ohio.
These cables use copper oxide-based
superconducting tape cooled by liquid nitrogen at 77 kelvins (-196 degrees
Celsius). Using liquid hydrogen for coolant would drop the temperature
to 20 kelvins, into the superconducting range of new compounds such as
magnesium diboride [see "Low-Temperature Superconductivity Is Warming Up,"
by Paul C. Canfield and Sergey L. Bud'ko; Scientific American, April 2005].
All demonstrations of superconducting
cables so far have used AC power, even though only DC electricity can travel
without resistance. Even so, at the frequencies used on the current grid,
superconductors offer about one two-hundredth the electrical resistance
of copper at the same temperature.
The Super-Cable we have designed
includes a pair of DC superconducting wires, one at plus 50,000 volts,
the other at minus 50,000 volts, and both carrying 50,000 amps--a current
far higher than any conventional wire could sustain. Such a cable could
transmit about five gigawatts for several hundred kilometers at nearly
zero resistance and line loss. (Today about a tenth of all electrical energy
produced by power plants is lost during transmission.)
A five-gigawatt Super-Cable is certainly
technically feasible. Its scale would rival the 3.1-gigawatt Pacific Intertie,
an existing 500-kilovolt DC overhead line that moves power between northern
Oregon and southern California. Just four Super-Cables would provide sufficient
capacity to transmit all the power generated by the giant Three Gorges
Dam hydroelectric facility in China.
Because a Super-Cable would use hydrogen
as its cryogenic coolant, it would transport energy in chemical as well
as electrical form. Next-generation nuclear plants can produce either electricity
or hydrogen with almost equal thermal efficiency. So the operators of nuclear
clusters could continually adjust the proportions of electricity and "hydricity"
that they pump into the Super-Grid to keep up with the electricity demand
while maintaining a flow of hydrogen sufficient to keep the wires superconducting.
Electricity and Hydricity
The ability to choose among alternative
forms of power and to store electricity in chemical form opens up a world
of possibilities. The Super-Grid could dramatically reduce fuel costs for
electric- and hydrogen-powered hybrid vehicles, for example.
Existing hybrids run on gasoline
or diesel but use batteries to recover energy that otherwise would go to
waste. "Plug-in" hybrids that debuted last year use electricity as well
as gas [see "Hybrid Vehicles," by Joseph J. Romm and Andrew A. Frank; Scientific
American, April]. BMW, Mazda and others have demonstrated hydrogen hybrids
that have two fuel tanks and engines that burn hydrogen when it is available
and gasoline when it is not. Many automakers are also developing vehicles
that use onboard fuel cells to turn hydrogen back into electricity by combining
it with oxygen.
Even the most efficient automobiles
today convert only 30 to 35 percent of their fuel energy into motion. Hydrogen
fuel-cell hybrids could do significantly better, reaching 50 percent efficiencies
with relative ease and eventually achieving 60 to 65 percent fuel efficiencies.
Replacing even a modest percentage
of petroleum-based transportation fuels would require enormous amounts
of both hydrogen and electricity, as well as a pervasive and efficient
delivery infrastructure. The Super-Grid offers one way to realize this
vision. Within each nuclear cluster, some reactors could produce electricity
while others made hydrogen--without emitting any greenhouse gases.
By transporting the two together,
the grid would serve both as a pipeline and as an energy store. For example,
every 70-kilometer section of Super-Cable containing 40-centimeter-diameter
pipes filled with liquid hydrogen would store 32 gigawatt-hours of energy.
That is equivalent to the capacity of the Raccoon Mountain reservoir, the
largest pumped hydroelectric facility in the U.S.
By transforming electricity into
a less ephemeral commodity similar to oil or natural gas, the new grid
could allow electricity markets to tolerate rapid swings in demand more
reliably than they do today. Super-Grid links crossing several time zones
and weather boundaries would allow power plants to tap excess nighttime
capacity to meet the peak electricity needs of distant cities. By smooth-ing
out fluctuations in demand, the low-loss grid could help reduce the need
for new generation construction.
The Super-Grid could go a long way,
too, toward removing one of the fundamental limitations to the large-scale
use of inconstant energy from wind, tides, waves and sunlight. Renewable
power plants could pump hydrogen onto the grid, rather than selling electricity.
Alternatively, baseline generators could monitor the rise and fall in electrical
output from these plants and might be able to use electrolysis to shift
their electricity/hydricity blend to compensate.
Charging Ahead
No major scientific advances are
needed to begin building the SuperGrid, and the electric utility industry
has already shown its interest in the concept by funding a SuperGrid project
at EPRI which will explore the numerous engineering challenges that integrating
Super-Cables into the existing power grid will pose. The largest of these
is what to do if a Super-Cable fails.
The grid today remains secure even
when a single device, such as a high-voltage transmission line, fails.
When a line sags into a tree, for example, circuit breakers open to isolate
the line from the grid, and the power that was flowing on the wire almost
instantaneously shifts to other lines. But we do not yet have a circuit-breaker
design that can cut off the extraordinary current that would flow over
a Super-Cable. That technology will have to evolve. Grid managers may need
to develop novel techniques for dealing with the substantial disturbance
that loss of such a huge amount of power would cause on the conventional
grid. A break in a SuperCable would collapse the surrounding magnetic field,
creating a brief but intense voltage spike at the cut point. The cables
will need insulation strong enough to contain this spike.
Safely transporting large amounts
of hydrogen within the Super-Cable poses another challenge. The petrochemical
industry and space programs have extensive experience pumping hydrogen,
both gaseous and liquid, over kilometer-scale pipelines. The increasing
use of liquefied natural gas will reinforce that technology base further.
The explosive potential (energy content per unit mass) of hydrogen is about
twice that of the methane in natural gas. But hydrogen leaks more easily
and can ignite at lower oxygen concentrations, so the hydrogen distribution
and storage infrastructure will need to be airtight. Work on hydrogen tanks
for vehicles has already produced coatings that can withstand pressures
up to 700 kilograms per square centimeter.
Probably the best way to secure Super-Cables
is to run them through tunnels deep underground. Burial could significantly
reduce public and political opposition to the construction of new lines.
The costs of tunneling are high,
but they have been falling as underground construction and microtunneling
have made great strides, as demonstrated by New York City's Water Tunnel
Number 3 and the giant storm sewers in Chicago. Automated boring machines
are now digging a 10.4-kilometer-long, 14.4--meter-diameter hydroelectric
tunnel beside the Niagara River, at a cost of $600 million. Recent studies
at Fermilab estimated the price of an 800-kilometer-long, three-meter-wide,
150-meter-deep tunnel at less than $1,000 a meter.
Super-Cables would carry many times
the power of existing transmission lines, which helps the economic case
for burial. But the potential for further technology innovation and the
limits imposed by the economics of underground construction need more exploration.
To jump-start the Super-Grid, and
to clarify the costs, participants in the 2004 SuperGrid workshop proposed
constructing a one-kilometer-long Super-Cable to carry several hundred
megawatts. This first segment would simply test the superconducting components,
using liquid nitrogen to cool them. The project could be sponsored by the
DOE, built at a suitable national laboratory site, and overseen by a consortium
of electric utilities and regional transmission operators. Success on that
prototype should lead to a 30- to 80-kilometer demonstration project that
relieves real bottlenecks on today's grid by supplementing chronically
congested interties between adjacent regional grids.
Beyond that, price may largely determine
whether any country will muster the political and social will to construct
a Super-Grid. The investment will undoubtedly be enormous: perhaps $1 trillion
in today's dollars and in any case beyond the timescale attractive to private
investment. It is difficult to estimate the cost of a multidecade, multigenerational
Super-Grid effort. But one can judge the ultimate benefits: a carbonless,
ecologically gentle domestic energy infrastructure yielding economic and
physical security.

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