CHIBA, Japan
— If there were any doubt about the auto industry's fascination with hydrogen,
one need look no further than the Tokyo Motor Show.
Hydrogen-powered concept vehicles
have a starring role as automakers try to divine their future. Six automakers
rolled out new versions, signaling the industry's seriousness about the
zero-emission alternative to gasoline. (Photo gallery: Hydrogen-powered
vehicles)
To believers such as Larry Burns,
General Motors' vice president of research and development, the frenzy
is validation — maybe even vindication — that hydrogen is quickly gaining
acceptance as the eventual replacement for gasoline. "I think we're beginning
to reach a tipping point," he said, standing next to the Sequel hydrogen
concept vehicle introduced in January in Detroit. "Our industry is very
serious."
Some automakers are in a hurry. Mazda
announced that it will begin production of a hydrogen version of its sporty
RX-8 within three years, starting in Japan. Instead of more complicated
fuel-cell stacks that produce energy through a chemical reaction, Mazda's
solution is to burn hydrogen in the car's rotary engine. Hydrogen combustion
results in some emissions but far fewer than from a gasoline-only engine.
The RX-8 Hydrogen RE is also being
called a hybrid because if it runs out of its store of hydrogen, it can
switch to a separate gasoline tank.
Japan has about 15 hydrogen fueling
stations, 10 around Tokyo. By the time the car goes on sale, most likely
to government and corporate fleets at first, the number of fueling stations
is likely to be about 30, says Mazda engineer Akihiro Kashiwagi.
Hydrogen's popularity at the show,
which continues through Nov. 6, is recognition of the potent selling power
of environmentalism. But the molecule's attraction is also stoked by soaring
gasoline prices and fears related to global warming.
Most experts have held that the switch
to hydrogen likely won't come for 15 to 20 years because of the need to
not only design and build the cars but to figure out ways to make the fuel
and to build fueling stations. Ron Cogan of Green Car Journal, refers to
"the chicken, the egg and the coupe problem. Without infrastructure, nobody
develops vehicles; without vehicles, nobody develops infrastructure."
But he and others say solutions could
come sooner rather than later. "Serious production" of hydrogen cars will
begin in the next seven to 10 years, predicts Andreas Docter, senior manager
of DaimlerChrysler's fuel-cell systems engineering.

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