| At the tranquil
campus town two hours away from Shanghai, Sun Zechang, the vice director
of the Automobile School of Tongji University, was nervously testing a
blue experimental car. Not far from his office giant factories were reshaping
the skyline of the rising auto town, home to his creature, the Surmount
III, a fuel-cell powered passenger car.
Sun and his research team have joined
with Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (SAIC) in a project to build
an alternative energy vehicle.
"We will make 10 fuel-cell propelled
car by the end of this year. Then we will run them in the city to test
their safety and endurance," said Sun.
Fuel-cells are batteries that use
fuel sources such as petrol, methanol, hydrogen, or natural gas for power.
They convert the energy from that fuel source into electricity that powers
the car.
Surmount III will use hydrogen as
its fuel source.
"The co-operation with Tongji will
spur China¡'s hunt for alternative energy sources and curb pollution
as demand for cars soars in the world's seventh largest economy," said
Hu Maoyuan, president of SAIC.
Hybrid cars
In addition to Tongji University,
SAIC has also been co-operating with Shanghai Jiao Tong University to develop
hybrid cars and fuel-cells.
SAIC¡'s venture with Volkswagen
intends to make 500 hybrid Touran cars in time for the 2008 Beijing Olympics,
said Hu.
"We expect that large-scale production
will start before the 2010 World Expo in Shanghai," he said.
Hybrids burn less fuel by adding
one or more electric motors to a standard petrol or diesel engine. The
batteries help power the vehicle and recharge themselves by capturing energy
during braking.
With oil prices and pollution levels
soaring, China is on a mission to reduce its dependence on oil and find
new energy sources for cars. The auto makers' enthusiasm for green energy
has become a real factor in the country¡'s sizzling car market.
SAIC¡'s longstand rival, Dongfeng
Automotive, announced that its first hybrid car would be launched late
this month. The passenger car, propelled by gasoline and natural liquefied
gas, has already been cleared for large-scale production.
Dongfeng will pour more than 120
million yuan (US$14.8 million) over the following two years into building
a platform for alternatively powered cars, according to the China Economic
Times.
GM and its main Chinese partner,
SAIC, said they plan to test a hybrid bus in Shanghai later this year.
The companies have also developed a fuel cell prototype, called "Phoenix".
DaimlerChrysler AG says it plans
to test three hydrogen fuel-cell buses in Beijing next year.
Toyota Motor Co, world pioneer in
hybrid cars, intends to assemble and sell its gasoline-electric Prius hybrid
in China after it proved highly popular in Japan and North America.
Newcomer's advantage
Experts in the industry said China¡'s
status as a newcomer without legacy investments in aging technology could
be an advantage, letting it jump straight to a newer generation of technology.
"That is possible," said Sun Jian,
a consultant with AT Kearney in Shanghai. "It is possible China will leapfrog
over the fossil-fuel combustion engine and go straight for fuel-cell cars."
"One thing China has going for it
is its relatively young automotive industry," said David Chen, vice-president
of General Motors China. "China's automotive industry does not need to
fully take the fossil fuel path. It is in an ideal position to develop
alternative energy." Sun said that China¡'s auto makers can benefit
from such leapfrogging and gain a greater share of the international market.
"Although China's domestic auto makers
are dwarfed in the area of research and development by their international
counterparts, they are bold when it comes to applying new technologies
" while the international giants are concerned that new technology will
make their old production lines obsolete," said Sun.
Chery, the State-owned auto maker,
is expecting to launch a hybrid car model in 2006 and to win an export
market in North America.
The government will pump US$289 million
into the company to fund research and development into emission reductions
and hybrids.
New York-based Visionary Vehicles
LLC (VVLLC), headed by maverick entrepreneur Malcolm Bricklin, known for
selling Yugos and importing Fiat X1/9s, told carlist.com that he expects
to import Chery hybrid cars into the US by 2008.
Although renewable energy backers
have hailed the alternative energy plan, most agree that it¡¯s
too early to tell when or if the hybird and fuel-cell powered vehicles
will replace petroleum as the predominant source of energy for transportation.
"The cost of alternative energy vehicles
is the major challenge to their success,"said Sun.
He said under current conditions
the cost of making a fuel-cell vehicle are 10 times the cost of making
a conventional one.
"We estimate that it will take 10
years or longer for fuel-cell cars to be accessible to ordinary buyers,"
said Sun, adding that it could take even longer to build networks of fuelling
stations.
"Fuel must be just as convenient
as today's gasoline is, plentiful at pumping stations," said Sun.
"None of the alternative fuel technologies
has a clear advantage," said Wang Hu, an expert from the Shanghai Academy
of Social Sciences." It is hard to tell when the new energy sources will
be able to compete with gasoline engines."
In addition to cost, researchers
also have to work out how to significantly increase the storage capacity
of fuel-cells so as to enable the vehicles to match the endurance of ordinary
cars.
"Another important thing that cannot
be ignored is support from the government," said Wang. "Firstly, the government
should support automakers and research institutes working on alternative
energy with major investment. Secondly, the government should advocate
the use of new energy cars to raise public awareness."
"After all, there is good news,"
said Sun."There's still a long tough way to go, but we need new forms of
power to carry us."

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