| Johannesburg
- Vehicles powered by hydrogen fuel cells would become affordable and widely
produced between 2015 and 2025, Jeremy Bentham, the chief executive of
Shell Hydrogen, a division of oil multinational Shell, said yesterday.
But a decade ago, respected commentators
predicted there would be mass availability of fuel cell vehicles by 2005,
he cautioned.
This had not yet materialised, although
hundreds of prototype vehicles had been developed, Bentham told the 18th
World Petroleum Congress.
The emergence of hydrogen as an energy
carrier has particular relevance to South Africa, which has about three-quarters
of the world's known global platinum reserves. Platinum is regarded as
the most efficient catalyst in converting hydrogen to electricity.
German and Japanese car manufacturers
are considered leaders in developing hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, among
them Mercedes-Benz, BMW and Mazda.
These three manufacturers have plants
in the country and strong links with the local automotive components industry,
which is already involved in the beneficiation of platinum, particularly
for catalytic converters.
Latest figures released by Trade
and Investment SA revealed that catalytic converter exports were worth
R8.1 billion and accounted for 38 percent of total automotive component
exports of R21.3 billion in 2003.
But the congress heard that cost
was a major factor inhibiting commercialisation, while further research
and development were needed on production, storage, distribution and carbon
capture.
Claude Mandil, the executive director
of the International Energy Agency, said to make hydrogen cost effective
as an energy carrier, the cost of producing it from primary energy sources
would need to be cut by between three and 10 times.
Furthermore, the cost of fuel cells
would need to decrease by between 50 and 100 times. "It's not impossible",
said Mandil, but he believed it would take decades and a "tremendous amount
of investment".
Ivar Hexeberg, the vice-president
and head of hydrogen at Norsk Hydro, the Norwegian energy company, said
in a "business as usual" scenario, it could take decades before hydrogen
would become a significant energy carrier.
But an early technology breakthrough,
or an unexpected event such as a war that was perceived to be linked to
energy supplies, could speed up its development, said Hexeberg.
Hydrogen, the world's most abundant
element, does not occur naturally as a gas on earth but is found in combination
with other elements.
It can be produced from a variety
of primary energy sources, including fossil fuels - coal, oil and gas -
as well as nuclear and renewables. If harnessed from fossil fuels, resulting
emissions of carbon dioxide would require carbon capture and storage.
Mandil said the energy agency believed
carbon capture was "an absolute prerequisite" for the development of hydrogen
as fossil fuels would probably be the most cost-effective source of producing
hydrogen.
Most speakers at a round table on
the hydrogen economy agreed that hydrogen should form an important part
of the global fuel mix, along with cleaner traditional fuels, biofuels
and gas to liquids.

|