| Each
week,
we look at the latest advice from the nation's leading advisers. Here,
we turn to high tech expert Michael Murphy, editor of Technology
Investing,
who offers an overview of his favorite stocks poised to be leaders in
the
developing market for alternative sources, including hybrid cars and
hydrogen
fuel cell technology.
Toyota (TM NYSE)
"When talking about hydrogen
fuel
cells and alternative energy, one technology comes to mind immediately:
the hybrid automobile. And one name stands out - Toyota. Its Prius has
been a smash hit. Toyota's hybrids have a leg-up on other makes
(notably
the Honda Civic hybrid) due to their superior technology. The stock
sells
less than 10 times this year's estimated earnings. They should be able
to maintain 12 percent growth for a number of years as the hybrid
revolution
rolls on. Add the growth rate to the 2 percent dividend - and get a bit
of multiple expansion - and I think we can earn 18 percent to 20
percent
a year on this conservative, low-risk stock over the next couple of
years.
Buy under $77 for a double over the next four years.''
Ballard Power (BLDP
NASDAQ)
"Of the over 185
fuel-cell powered
vehicles in fleet demonstrations, 8 percent will be powered by Ballard
fuel cells. That's a leader, plain and simple. Ballard is not expected
to generate significant product revenues or be profitable for several
years
yet. Over the last 5 years, Ballard has put $639 million into research,
so at their current market cap, we are paying under 1 times their
R&D
investment. With the new energy bill making fuel cell motors for cars
and
other vehicles a top priority - and both Ford and Ballard saying the
first
cars are only 5 years away - this stock is very timely and dirt cheap.
Buy up to $6 for a $12 target in 2006 - and much higher levels after
that.
Plug Power (PLUG NASDAQ)
"Plug Power targets the
office backup
and residential markets with its GenCore systems. They are also working
on a residential system, a continuous power product with combined heat
and power capability for remote small commercial and remote residential
applications. They recently announced what will be their showcase
installation
to the Florida Department of Environmental Protection. Plug Power was
chosen
in part because it is durable enough to endure extreme weather
conditions
like hurricanes, which is exactly when the grid power is most likely to
go out. PLUG has a $530 million total market cap and is another
small-cap
company facing a big, big opportunity. They are an obvious beneficiary
of the new energy bill. Buy under $7.50, looking for a target of $15 by
the end of 2006.
Fuel Cell Energy (FCEL
NASDAQ)
"Fuel Cell focuses on
stationary
fuel cell power. The fuel cell generates electricity twice as
efficiently
without combustion, and therefore without pollution. The only
by-products
are heat, which can be used, carbon dioxide and water. It's also quiet.
Starwood Hotels has already committed to the system. They already have
a system in their Manhattan hotel, and I'm looking forward to a stay at
Starwood's Sheraton San Diego Hotel and Marina. Fuel Cell Energy
invested
$77 million in R&D over the last 10 years. It's a 'small-cap' stock
facing a huge opportunity. They'll lose about $1.60 a share this year,
a bit less than the last couple of years. I expect the stock to double
over the next year as the implications of the new energy bill sink in.
Buy FCEL under $11 for a move to $22 in 2006."

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