| Toshiba, which
first planned to launch its fuel cell for laptops last year, indicated
Wednesday the device won't reach the market until at least 2007.
“Toshiba has already started providing
samples for evaluation purposes, said Midori Suzuki, who is in charge of
international media relations. “However, it is not at the stage of commercialization,
yet.”
This is the second time Toshiba has
postponed the launch. The Tokyo-based computer company originally said
it would introduce its methanol-based fuel cell in 2004, and then changed
the expected launch to 2005.
In the meantime, Medis Technologies,
a New York-based fuel cell company, announced last month that its micro
fuel cells will hit retail shelves in January.
As portable devices have become smaller
and more power hungry, batteries have been unable to keep up, and fuel
cells are seen as a potential solution. Fuel cells produce power by mixing
fuel with air and water between a reactive film membrane in an electrochemical
reaction. They are eventually expected to be smaller, lighter, and up to
10 times more powerful than batteries.
They are refilled with fuel instead
of recharged, potentially freeing portable gadgets from the outlet-attached
recharger. But some of the first micro fuel cells are expected to recharge
batteries, instead of replace them.
Toshiba has been working on a methanol-based
fuel cell that would be attached to a laptop and would constantly recharge
the lithium-ion battery.
Ms. Suzuki said the main reasons
for the latest delay are regulations that prohibit passengers from bringing
methanol onto airplanes.
“One of the major purposes of [direct-methanol
fuel cells] for portable PCs is that the users can use PCs without worrying
about limited battery life while they are in the aircraft,” she said.
Through its involvement with an International
Electrotechnical Commission working group, Toshiba has been working to
change the regulations since August 2004, when the group was formed to
consider industrial standards for micro fuel cells.
The company now thinks the regulations
won’t change until 2007, at the earliest, Ms. Suzuki said. While procedures
to change regulations always take a long time, terrorist attacks have made
conditions for approval even more severe, she said.
Other fuel cells, such as a tiny
fuel cell Toshiba has been developing for cell phones and MP3 players,
could come out before then, she said. “You are not allowed to use [cell
phones] on the aircraft anyway,” she said.
Delay ‘Not Surprising’
Dan Benjamin, a senior analyst at
ABI Research, said the delay is “not surprising,”
“There are a lot of delays,” he said.
While fuel cells for niche applications, such as Jadoo Power Systems’ cell
for professional video cameras, have seen some success, mobile fuel cells
are “still up in the air,” he said.
Heat and waste management, size and
weight challenges, form factors, and the question of what to do with the
cartridges, remain big challenges for micro fuel cells, he said.
“These were issues five years ago,
and they’re still issues today,” he said. Mr. Benjamin said he still thinks
micro fuel cells will come to the market, but he doesn’t know when. “I
think we need to stop guessing on the timeline and wait until we see a
shipping product.”
Atakan Ozbek, a former analyst with
ABI Research, last year said he expected mass-market acceptance by 2008,
with 100 million units in sales by 2012. Frost & Sullivan expects to
see a $126-million market worldwide by 2010, with the bulk of that growth
occurring in 2007 and 2008.

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