| CLEVELAND,
OH-- Commercial demand for fuel cell products and services -- including
revenues associated with prototyping and test marketing activities -- will
increase close to sevenfold to $2.6 billion in 2009 and reach $13.6 billion
in 2014. A number of viable markets for fuel cells are expected to develop
over the next ten years as technological advances and economies of scale
help drive costs down to competitive levels. World fuel cell spending (including
research and development funding and investment in fuel cell enterprises,
in addition to commercial sales) will more than double to $10.8 billion
in 2009. These and other trends are presented in "World Fuel Cells," a
new study from The Freedonia Group, Inc., a Cleveland-based industrial
market research firm.
Electric power generation is emerging
as the first large-scale commercial application for fuel cells and will
account for more than half of global product and service demand through
2014. However, portable electronics applications are projected to register
the strongest gains over the next ten years, rising from what are now extremely
low levels of demand to become the second largest fuel cell market. Full
cell-powered industrial stationary and motive power equipment will achieve
some commercial success as well.
Motor vehicle-related fuel cell demand
is potentially gigantic but has not yet lived up to its potential, constrained
by technical and infrastructure-related issues, as well as by high cost
barriers. Nevertheless, the use of fuel cell vehicles in government and
commercial fleets will provide some impetus to market growth through 2014,
as automakers continue to invest in demonstration and test marketing programs.
Proton-exchange membrane (PEM) fuel
cells, which currently account for well over half of world commercial demand,
will maintain their dominant position through 2009 and beyond.
With a few notable exceptions (such
as China), future demand for fuel cell products and services will largely
be concentrated in geographic areas where pre-commercialization activity
has been concentrated -- the US, Canada, parts of Western Europe and Japan.
Fuel cells are also expected to find some use as a source of electricity
in developing countries with inadequate central power grids.
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